The master class: Trump’s practice of surprise and Shannon’s theory of communication

Trump’s practice of surprise and Shannon’s theory of communication

The Donald has been until now a master of running the establishment media’s agenda, whatever else you may like to say about him.

His press conference last night was a master class.  His comments about Charlottesville drove the establishment media into a nearly uncontrollable rage, for a very specific reason.  In the master class, his set of remarks about black mask/antifa was a “dog whistle” to the establishment media, a slug of un-dodge-able information that The Donald masterfully inserted into the broad communication channel known as “the national conversation.”

Information in the channel…

Information in the channel points us to the mathematical theory of communication, Claude Shannon’s most famous theory from his days at Bell Labs.  Shannon’s theory begins with the idea of information as a countable substance, as quantifiable as the volume of water in a pitcher or the number of apples growing on an apple tree.

For the basic quantity of information, some scientists use the term surprisal, and that is a nice term for informal conversation.  In colloquial terms, information is surprise.

The amount of surprise you experience depends on who is at the other end of the communication channel.  You, the observer, receive some amount of surprise from a sender, a source.  Are you talking to an honest mensch or a crooked gambler looking for a sucker?  In terms of throwing dice, is the source a pair of fair dice or a pair of crooked dice?

unfair dice

This pair of dice is going to come up 7’s frequently.

If the honest mensch is on the line, you are going to hear a random array of results: “The first roll is 3.   OK, the next roll came up snake eyes.  Let’s see: it’s a 7.  Next roll 8…”  And so on for the honest mensch.

The crooked gambler has his dice set up to come up 7’s at least 25% of the time, on average.  So, his first four transmissions down the phone line to you might be: “First roll, 3!  Come on, baby, next roll, 7!  OK, shoes for the baby…. LUCKY 7!  Let’s try another roll, come on: another 7!  We are on a lucky roll, man, but it can’t last.”  At which point, he asks you to increase your bet.

But if you are smart, you hang up the phone on the crooked gambler.  You hang up the phone, because there is no surprise in what he says.  Low surprise, low information.  (A completely fixed pair of dice, all fives and all twos, would be zero surprise, and Claude Shannon would say that the source bears zero information.)

The crooked gambler’s dice are going to come up 7 most of the time, just like some establishment news channels like CNN have recently been all Russia collusion, all the time.  Now, however, the blow up in Charlottesville permits them a new spiel, all white supremacy, all the time.

Thus CNN becomes Johnny One Note.

Johnny One Note is also known as Jack of No Surprises.

Jack of No Surprises is Jackie Zero, for zero information.

The rage of establishment media yesterday came from The Donald pushing information about black mask/antifa into their low information channel.  He did not back down.  Johnny One Note did cry a few tears of rage, like any 4-year old in a tantrum, but then they had to accommodate it.

In the master class, The Donald surprised Johnny One Note into exploring the octaves, using more of his channel’s capacity.  CNN et al. do have the capacity for a lot of information, if they choose to use it wisely.  There is a lot going on in the world they could be transmitting. more than just collusion and Charlottesville and other symbols of partisan rage.  CNN et al. have a job to do, and we civilians have to learn more about all of the imbecilic criminal neo-Nazi types in Charlottesville and what they tried to do there, so that we be vigilant for those who would corrupt or destroy our freedom here in the USA. CNN, get to it!

Judy Garland sings “Johnny One Note”

 

فُردو‎, have we got your attention yet?

Listening yet, you guys in فُردو‎?  Mr. GBU 43 wants to check with you.  How about, you, Outstanding Leader 영명한 동지?

AC-130H-Elephant-WalkMOAB_bomb

Three questions “they” should ask Hillary Clinton.

Here are three questions it would be great to ask Hillary Clinton.

  1. Do you agree never to do a Friday afternoon document dump?
  2. Will you guarantee that you’ll appoint a nonpartisan, apolitical Commissioner of Internal Revenue?
  3. Will you agree to appoint an independent, forensic IT professional to  guarantee the documentary integrity of all your emails?

It would be nice to see her torch her own campaign by weasel-wording these questions.

Unlike the living answer to Hillary’s dictum — “What difference at this point does it make?” — President Barack “Test Signal” Obama, voting present most of the time, no matter how dangerous it gets at Fardu دو  or Zahedan, and unlike someone with a clear conscience, Hillary, who represents the past and is so polarizing, calculating, disingenuous, insincere, ambitious, overconfident, secretive, who considers herself inevitable and entitled to the White House and who will do anything to win, though out of touch, will not be able to handle these questions.  Even refusing to answer will not help.

Why did Belichick suddenly hold another press conference?

Nice.  Good.  Fine.  Belichick claims innocence.

But it does not make sense.  Sure everything sounds scientific, thorough and on the surface, plausible.  But who is going to believe him?  Maybe fans in Boston, but that is about it.  How does that help him?  I cannot see it.  Nobody is going to put the cheating scandal on the spike because of this press conference.  He is walking right into the land of “the lady doth protest too much.”

So why did Belichick suddenly hold a second press conference?

Is there something cooking behind the scene that compelled him to hold another press conference?  Is Robert Kraft, the team owner, pushing him out there again?  Why?

And there is another question: Why hasn’t Kraft said anything publicly?  The NFL is not talking much, which makes sense, but I could see Kraft saying something.  He hasn’t.  Why is that?

The untold story, inquiring minds want to know!

Confession is always a place of victory.

Lovely article about the faithful priest and confession, always a place of victory.

V for victory

A kiss of peace: Pope Francis receives symbolic gesture from patriarch :: Catholic News Agency (CNA)

CreatorA kiss of peace: Pope Francis receives symbolic gesture from patriarch :: Catholic News Agency (CNA).

This is a significant event, like the establishment of Israel in 1948.

Good.

Kurdistan’s old soldiers flock to the battlefield to fight ISIS

PESHMERGA, GO GET ‘EM!

TOOZKHURMATU, Iraq – They’re the Kurdish version of “The Expendables,” old soldiers coming out of retirement to rejoin the ranks of Kurdistan’s legendary Peshmerga fighters.